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Inflation lowest in 21 years in 2025, although slightly higher in December

Inflation was the lowest in 21 years in 2025, although it ticked up by 0.2% in December compared to November, ending the year on 3.6%.

Statistics SA announced the inflation rate for December, the last for the calendar year, on Wednesday morning. The average inflation rate for 2025 was 3.2%, the lowest rate since 2004, when it was 1.4%. The next most recent year that average inflation was lower than 3.2% was in 1969, 56 years ago, when it was 3.0%.

This chart shows how inflation performed over the years:

average inflation South Africa over the years
Image: Supplied

Food inflation steady in December

According to Statistics SA, food inflation was stable for food and non-alcoholic beverages at 4.4% in December, although it contained bad news for meat eaters.

Meat inflation continued its upward trajectory, increasing to 12.6% in December from 12.2% in November. In December 2024, the rate was -0.4%, showing how quickly meat inflation accelerated over the year.

Beef inflation remains at high levels, with beef steak, for example, recording an annual price change of 28.4% in November and increasing to 29.4% in December. Other notable red meat products that registered higher rates include sausages (from 18.5% in November to 19.4% in December), boerewors (17.2% to 18.2%), mutton (13.7% to 15.0%) and pork (9.4% to 11.5%).

The price of cereal products also increased,

Inflation for cereal products rose from 1.7% in November to 2.1% in December. Several key items experienced faster price increases, including brown bread (accelerating from 0.5% to 1.0%), white bread (1.3% to 1.7%) and spaghetti (1.7% to 3.1%).

Inflation for maize meal declined for a second consecutive month, slowing to 9.5% in December from 9.9% in November.

The milk, other dairy products and eggs category remained in deflationary territory at -1.1%, mainly led by cheaper milk products. The annual rate for fresh full-cream milk, for example, declined further to -1.5% from -1.2% in November. Cheese continues to buck the trend. Cheddar prices rose by 9.0% in the 12 months to December, higher than the 4.9% rise recorded in November.

The annual rate for oil and fats slowed to 4.6%, with sunflower oil softening to 6.2% from November’s 6.6%. Olive oil is 8.0% cheaper than a year ago.

Prices for non-alcoholic beverages rose by 4.2% in the 12 months to December, higher than November’s rate of 3.7%. Inflation for cold beverages recorded a notable rise from 1.4% in November to 2.2% in December.

The graph below shows the food and beverage products that recorded the sharpest price increases and decreases.

inflation food and beverage prices
Image: Supplied

Other notable price changes

Results from the quarterly survey of housing rents were published in December. Actual rentals increased by 0.8% in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared with the third quarter, down from 1.1% recorded in the previous quarter. The annual change for actual rentals was 3.7% with townhouses increasing by 4.6%, flats by 4.2% and houses by 3.3%.

Domestic workers saw their pay increase by an annual 3.8% in December, lower than the 4.1% rise recorded at the end of 2024.

Fuel prices rose by 0.6% in the 12 months to December. Diesel was up by 3.7% and petrol by 0.1%.

Fares for long-distance buses rose significantly (by 38.6%) between November and December. Sharp monthly increases in December are typical, reflecting a spike in travel during the festive season. Despite this monthly increase, these prices were 5.6% lower this December than the previous year.

Accommodation services recorded a decline of 3.2% between November and December, with hotel prices easing by 5.0%.

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